A famous American TV show, ‘Madam Secretary,’ seems to have predicted the endgame in Ukraine seven years ahead of the Russian invasion.
Madam Secretary is an American political drama television starring Téa Leoni as the lead character of Elizabeth McCord, a former CIA analyst and a political science professor. She went on to become the United States Secretary of State.
The TV show ran on CBS from September 21, 2014, to December 8, 2019, for six seasons and 120 episodes.
Recently, a video has emerged showing a 35-second-long clip from Episode 10 of the second season of the show that aired in 2015, in which the heads of State and senior officials from the US, Ukraine, Russia, and European countries are seated in a meeting in Geneva, following the Russian assault on Mariupol to negotiate the cessation of hostilities.
Ukraine conflict end predicted by a US tv show “Madam secretary, 2015” pic.twitter.com/8VheQUZ4pJ
— The Poll Lady (@ThePollLady) November 5, 2022
One US Secretary of State staff member, McCord, lays out the American proposal to end the conflict.
“Eastern Ukraine will become an autonomous state with its borders along the north of the Black Sea, from Luhansk to Odesa Oblast,” the staff member says in the video.
He continues: “An end to all United States Economic Sanctions on the Russian government and as well as on individual Russians.
An end to all travel bans, except those on the United States Terrorist Watch List.
Russia agrees to restore gas and oil supplies to all European Union countries effectively immediately and without interruption for 15 years.”
How Close Is Madam Secretary To Reality?
The Season 2 of the Madam Secretary aired shortly after signing two Minsk Agreements, one in September 2014 in the aftermath of the Russian annexation of Crimea and the second in February 2015.
Those agreements were reached based on the critical proposal that Ukraine accord autonomy to the Russian-speaking Luhansk and Donetsk Oblasts. However, the TV series shows the US government offering independence for a much larger territory stretching from Luhansk to Odesa Oblast to Russia.
Also, before this meeting in the video, Russia is shown losing in Mariupol to the Ukrainian forces assisted by American military advisors embedded with them.
Despite the victory, the US is depicted as taking the initiative to call for negotiations with Russia and proposing autonomy for the entire Eastern Ukrainian region, much against the wishes of the Ukrainian government.
Not surprisingly, the Ukrainian Foreign Minister Luka Melnik, played by a Ukrainian-American actor, David Vadim, is very unhappy with the proposed agreement. He calls the Secretary of State McCord’s staff member “A Puppet of Russia” as he lays out this proposal.
Nevertheless, the proposed agreement by Madam Secretary is much closer to the present situation in Ukraine.
Situation On The Ground In Ukraine
Russia has managed to occupy the territory in Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, and Zaporizhzhia Oblasts in Eastern Ukraine. The only difference between the TV show and reality is that the Russian-installed officials in these regions held referendums that resulted in favor of joining the Russian Federation.
On September 30, Russian president Vladimir Putin announced the annexation of Donetsk, Kherson, Luhansk, and Zaporizhzhia oblasts of Ukraine in an address to both houses of the Russian parliament.
This means that the aforementioned Eastern Ukrainian regions are no longer intended to be autonomous regions but are now officially a part of Russia.
Russia does not completely control any of the four Oblasts, where military hostilities are still ongoing.
After five months of brutal fighting, Russia managed to bring Luhansk Oblast under complete control by July 3. However, in mid-September, Ukrainian forces re-entered after their successful counteroffensive in the Kharkiv oblast and retook the village of Bilohorivka on September 19, which remains under Ukraine’s control.
Since then, Ukrainian forces are continuing to try and push the Russian lines further back, with several reports of ongoing hostilities between the two sides.
The latest hostilities report was on November 5 by a Russian news outlet Verstka, of a battalion of Russian soldiers at Makiivka in the Svatovsky district of the Luhansk Oblast, having taken huge losses due to a Ukrainian artillery strike. Ukrainian forces on October 5 reportedly captured Makiivka.
Russia is focussing its resources on capturing Donetsk Oblast by conducting offensive operations in the direction of Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and the western Donetsk region.
Bakhmut has been an essential target for Russia’s armed forces, as taking Bakhmut would rupture Ukraine’s supply lines and open a route for Russian troops to move further toward Kramatorsk and Sloviansk, the last two Ukrainian-held major cities in Donetsk. Once captured by the Russian forces, these regions will allow Moscow to declare complete control over Donetsk Oblast.
In Kherson, civilians are being moved from the right (west) bank of the Dnipro River to Russian Federation while Russian forces prepare new defensive lines and reinforce the existing ones.
Ukraine’s Southern Operational Command has reported that Russian forces set conditions for a controlled withdrawal in northwestern Kherson Oblast. They are leaving some checkpoints and redistributing personnel and equipment to establish fallback positions on the Dnipro River’s left (eastern) bank.
It appears that Russian forces are preparing to engage in fighting to prevent Ukrainian forces from chasing them onto the left (eastern) bank.